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Jeremy Szafron, Anchor at Kitco News, interviews Claudia Sahm, founder of Sahm Consulting and chief economist at New Century Advisors. In this in-depth discussion, Claudia Sahm sheds light on the current state of the U.S. economy, explaining why despite the Sahm Rule being triggered, she believes we are not yet in a recession. Sahm discusses the complexities of the labor market, consumer spending, and the Federal Reserve’s policy decisions. She provides critical insights into why the unemployment rate is rising, the potential impact of increased labor force participation, and what the Fed should do to avoid an unnecessary recession.
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00:00 – Introduction
02:00 – Welcoming Claudia Sahm
03:30 – Explaining the Sahm Rule
05:45 – Why the Sahm Rule Triggered but No Recession Yet
08:20 – The Role of Consumer Spending and Income
11:15 – Labor Market Dynamics and Unemployment
14:00 – Impact of Increased Labor Force Participation
17:25 – Federal Reserve’s Policy Decisions
20:10 – Risks of an Unnecessary Recession
23:00 – Future Economic Projections
26:40 – Closing Thoughts
#KitcoNews, #JeremySzafron, #ClaudiaSahm, #USEconomy, #Recession2024, #EconomicOutlook, #FederalReserve, #SahmRule, #Unemployment, #GDPGrowth, #EconomicIndicators, #LaborMarket, #ConsumerSpending, #RateCuts, #FinancialMarkets, #MarketAnalysis, #EconomicPolicy, #EconomicForecast, #Inflation, #FiscalPolicy, #MonetaryPolicy, #InterestRates, #Economist, #FinanceNews, #MarketTrends, #Investment, #EconomicTrends, #StockMarket, #FinancialNews
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