When lumber crashes, will stocks follow? ‘Few understand this’ says Michael Gayed


When the lumber to gold ratio spikes, it’s usually a signal that risk on sentiment will remain strong, said Michael Gayed, portfolio manager at Toroso Investments.

Gayed has been tracking the lumber to gold ratio as part of his Lead-Lag report, and his studies have found that peaks and troughs usually lead equity rallies and declines, respectively.

However, given the spike in lumber prices, it’s only a matter of time before prices mean revert downward, meaning a stock market correction could be on the horizon.

0:00 – Lumber/gold ratio and macro
17:29 – Cryptocurrencies
23:34 – Asset allocation

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