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You may have been hearing recently that it’s easier to outperform the market than it once was. It’s an exciting prospect but the reality is nuanced. While it may seem tempting to try and beat the market with your retirement funds, especially in light of a recent Morningstar report, it’s important to exercise caution.
The report indicates that in the first half of 2023, 57% of actively managed funds and ETFs outperformed their benchmarks, with some specific categories faring exceptionally well. This percentage appears much higher than historical averages, prompting enthusiasm among investors.
However, it’s important to remember that market outperformance isn’t a one-sided equation. If one set of active managers is beating the market, another set must be underperforming. Furthermore, once you consider transaction costs, the collective average return of active managers is likely to be below the market return.
This perspective aligns with a foundational article from the 1991 issue of the Financial Analysts Journal by William Sharpe, a Nobel laureate in economics. Sharpe argued that active management, on average, would underperform market indexes, supported purely by basic arithmetic.
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