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Diego Parrilla, who manages the $250 million Quadriga Igneo fund, said that gold is primed to surge to fresh highs as the risks around central banks unwinding massive stimulus are under-appreciated by investors.
Parilla said that people aren’t really looking into the long-term and permanent damage caused by ultra-loose monetary and fiscal policies. Artificially low interest rates have created asset bubbles that are too big to burst, which will make it very difficult for central banks to normalize without risking their collapse
For those of you who don’t know. Parilla is the one who predicted, 5 years ago, that Gold would climb to a record high in five years. He worked at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Bank of America Merrill Lynch and has 25 year’s experience trading precious metals.
This time, he said he sees gold going to up to $5000 in the next five years.
Gold reached an all-time high of $2,075.47 in August 2020 and has since traded near $1,800 over the last few weeks.
Many believe that the drop is caused by Fed’s hawkish shift in June, when officials sped up their timetable for policy tightening and said they would start discussing scaling back bond buying. Treasuries have been rallying since the end of March even as inflation accelerates, pushing 10-year real yields to a record low. That would typically raise the appeal of holding non-interest bearing bullion, but prices are still well below last year’s high.
Do remember that gold is disconnected from some of the moves in Treasuries and real yields. However, major policy changes give gold a boost. These events shows investors that central banks aren’t in control as much as people think.
We will keep tabs on al Perilla’s prediction along with the predictions of other experts. Good or bad, we will keep you updated. Being able to establish the credibility of fund managers and other experts could help you as you research and plan your portfolio.
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