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Last year, stock prices rose to levels that are completely and utterly absurd. Considering the economy was and is still down, unemployment was at an all-time high, it was puzzling to see all these investors pouring in.
Many think that we are currently in the largest stock market bubble in the entire history of our nation. Of course, this bubble will end the way that all of our other stock market bubbles eventually ended, with the bubble bursting.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 725 points. That represented the worst day for the index since October 2020. Sure, one bad day is not a crisis. Even though many individual stocks have already plunged into bear market territory, we have a long way to go before people start using the word “crash”. In fact, I don’t think that anyone should even think of using the word “crash” until the Dow drops below 30,000.
The Delta variant is a huge factor, though. It’s a bit of an overreaction but when you have a market that’s at record highs, that’s had the kind of run we’ve had, with virtually no pullback, it becomes extremely vulnerable to any sort of bad news.
I don’t necessarily think it’s right for investors to pull back because of the variant of for any reason for that matter. I think it should be the other way around. When the market is down, when the economy is down, you should invest.
However, I am not the market. And the market won’t always agree with me.
According to CNBC, the number of newly confirmed COVID cases per week has more than doubled over the past month…
The U.S. is averaging nearly 26,000 new cases a day in the last seven days through Sunday, up from a seven-day average of around 11,000 cases a day a month ago, according to CDC data. Cases were already flaring up around the world because of the delta variant.
Now that the market has started to fall, some experts are warning that the drop could be quite substantial.
For example, one Morgan Stanley strategist believes that we could eventually see a “correction” of 10 to 20 percent…
Morgan Stanley chief U.S. equity strategist Mike Wilson said that the market appears ready to take on a more defensive character as we experience a meaningful deceleration in earnings and economic growth.
Actually, if that is the worst that happens we will be quite fortunate.
Zero Hedge has also pointed out that Goldman Sachs has been aggressively selling off billions of dollars worth of stocks recently…
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