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For the first time since the Fed began increasing interest rates, the entire housing landscape appears set to decline. During the pandemic, prices shot up by 50% nationwide. Then, as the Fed increased interest rates, mortgage rates leaped from below 3% to over 7.5%. This, combined with a shortage in supply due to homeowners retaining their low-rate mortgages, has made housing affordability the worst it has been in years.
The resale market has been on a downtrend since 2022. Increased mortgage rates have impacted homebuilders, who are now anticipating reduced construction due to shrinking profits. Apartment constructions have also taken a hit from a mix of sluggish rent increases and towering financing expenses.
Economically, the lagging residential construction could hinder overall economic growth. Still, it is unlikely to push us into a recession soon. The housing market’s current behavior contrasts with 2022, where a surge in demand for new homes was observed due to the reluctance of homeowners to sell.
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